Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), cancer, diabetes and chronic
respiratory disorders - the incidence of these non-communicable diseases (NCDs)
is constantly rising in industrialised countries. The Federal Office of Public
Health (FOPH) is, therefore, in the process of developing a national prevention
strategy with a view to improving the population's health competence and
encouraging healthier behaviour. Attention is focusing, amongst other things,
on the main risk factors for these diseases which are linked to personal
behaviour – i.e. tobacco smoking, an unhealthy diet, physical inactivity and
harmful alcohol consumption.
Against this backdrop Private Docent Brian Martin and his
colleagues from the Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM) at the
University of Zurich have examined the effects of these four factors – both
individual and combined – on life expectancy. For the first time the
consequences of an unhealthy lifestyle can be depicted in numbers. An
individual who smokes, drinks a lot, is physically inactive and has an
unhealthy diet has 2.5 fold higher mortality risk in epidemiological terms than
an individual who looks after his health. Or to put it positively: "A
healthy lifestyle can help you stay ten years' younger", comments the lead
author Eva Martin-Diener.
Analysis of data from the Swiss Cohort
For the study the researchers used data from the Swiss
National Cohort (SNC). The Zurich public health physicians focussed on CVDs and
cancer as they account for the most deaths in Switzerland. The researchers
succeeded in correlating data on tobacco consumption, fruit consumption,
physical activity and alcohol consumption from 16,721 participants aged between
16 and 90 from 1977 to 1993 with the corresponding deaths up to 2008. The
impact of the four forms of behaviour was still visible when biological risk
factors like weight and blood pressure were taken into account as well.
"The effect of each individual factor on life
expectancy is relatively high", states Eva Martin-Diener. But smoking
seems to be the most harmful. Compared with a group of non-smokers, smokers
have a 57 percent higher risk of dying prematurely. The impact of an unhealthy
diet, not enough sport and alcohol abuse results in an elevated mortality risk
of around 15 percent for each factor. "We were very surprised by the 2.5
fold higher risk when all four risk factors are combined", explains Brian
Martin. Hence, the probability of a 75-year-old man with all risk factors
surviving the next ten years is, for instance, 35 percent, without risk factors
67 percent – for a woman 47 and 74 percent respectively.
Effects only appear in later life
According to Martin an unhealthy lifestyle has above all a
long-lasting impact. Whereas high wine consumption, cigarettes, an unhealthy
diet and physical inactivity scarcely had any effect on mortality amongst the
45 to 55-year-olds, it does have a visible effect on 65 to 75-year-olds. The
probability of a 75-year-old man with none of the four risk factors surviving
the next ten years is 67 percent, exactly the same as the risk for a smoker who
is ten years younger, doesn't exercise, eats unhealthily and drinks a lot.
The social and public health physicians depict the
dependency of life expectancy and the four risk behaviours for the age groups
in what are known as survival charts. The impact of individual risk factors and
their combined effect on mortality are visible at a glance. "In future,
doctors will be able to refer to the easily comprehensible charts when giving
health counselling to their patients in primary care", comments Eva
Martin-Diener with confidence. "Furthermore, they may also be important for
the political discussions of prevention strategies for NCDs."
No comments:
Post a Comment